September 15 Primaries Predictions & Odds· 4332 markets

I
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

96%

September 30

$31.5m Vol.
$322k Liq.
🔥$166k today
299
Ends in 3 months
S
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?

81%

October 31

$1.4m Vol.
$159k Liq.
🔥$88k today
88
Ends in about 1 month
B
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

18%

December 31

$15.2m Vol.
$310k Liq.
🔥$64k today
274
Ends in 3 months
H
Houthis seize an oil tanker by...?

Houthis seize an oil tanker by...?

28%

October 31

$128k Vol.
$14k Liq.
🔥$56k today
1
Ends in 6 days
W
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

91%

September 30

$104k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
A
Anthropic IPO by __?

Anthropic IPO by __?

78%

December 31, 2026

$3.8m Vol.
$214k Liq.
50
Ends in 9 months
R
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?

91%

December 31

$289k Vol.
$82k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

77%

October 31

$1.4m Vol.
$28k Liq.
13
Ends in about 1 month
U
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

7%

Yes

$1.3m Vol.
$37k Liq.
8
Ends in 6 days
G
Gemini 4.0 released by...?

Gemini 4.0 released by...?

92%

November 30

$598k Vol.
$39k Liq.
18
Ends in 2 months
W
When will the Rhine River return to normal levels?

60%

No return before November 1, 2026

$66k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
H
Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

53%

October 31

$124k Vol.
$533 Liq.
Ended
N
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

97%

No release by September 30

$139k Vol.
$167k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
I
Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

98%

September 24

$550k Vol.
$46k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
Will Iran target an Arab country by...?

Will Iran target an Arab country by...?

53%

October 31

$53k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
S
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

97%

October 31

$716k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Will Russia target Kyiv on...?

Will Russia target Kyiv on...?

97%

September 25

$108k Vol.
$73k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
Will Iran target Egypt by...?

Will Iran target Egypt by...?

5%

October 31

$31k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
I
Israel military action against Syria by...?

30%

October 31

$64k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by...?

23%

October 31

$12k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 6 days