Sanction Predictions & Odds· 174 markets

U
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?

18%

October 31

$356k Vol.
$22k Liq.
6
Ends in 11 days
U
US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by...?

41%

December 31

$47k Vol.
$445 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 14 - September 20)

53%

Communist / Communism

$6k Vol.
$708 Liq.
Ends in about 19 hours
U
US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by...?

US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by...?

41%

December 31

$49k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?

4%

Yes

$8k Vol.
$93 Liq.
Ends in 11 days
T
Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by...?

38%

September 30

$6k Vol.
$428 Liq.
Ends in 11 days
L
Logan Paul and Tom Brady sanctioned fight announced in 2026?

21%

Yes

$48 Vol.
$37 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k Vol.
$287k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Canada sanction India by October 31?

No

$1k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
W
Will Trump Sanction UNRWA in 2025?

No

$5k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
W
Will the US sanction Russia before May?

Ukraine · Trump Presidency

Will the US sanction Russia before May?

Yes

$63k Vol.
$0 Liq.
-8
Ended
W
Will the US sanction Ukraine before April?

No

$83k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended
W
Will Trump sanction Venezuela by Friday?

No

$9k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
W
Will Trump sanction Russia before March?

No

$395k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will the US sanction UK before April?

No

$22k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

Oil Sanction Relief

$13.8m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

Enrichment of Uranium

$8.6m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?

Unfreeze Iranian Assets

$3.6m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
What will Trump say during oil executive meetings on Friday?

Oil 15+ times

$160k Vol.
$0 Liq.
24
Ended
W
What will Trump say during Syria President events on November 10?

Million / Billion / Trillion 12+ times

$358k Vol.
$0 Liq.
191
Ended