Tariff Predictions & Odds· 664 markets

U
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

91%

Yes

$257k Vol.
$56k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026?

7%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?

12%

Yes

$56k Vol.
$1k Liq.
5
Ends in 4 months
T
Trump announces Canada tariff decrease by...?

62%

December 31

$1k Vol.
$799 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump announces Canada tariff increase by...?

59%

October 31

$3k Vol.
$347 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Costco say during their next earnings call?

99%

Quarter 15+ times

$4k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
What will Cracker Barrel say during their next earnings call?

98%

Quarter 15+ times

$920 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
W
What will BlackBerry say during their next earnings call?

98%

Quarter 15+ times

$494 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
U
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?

46%

December 31

$190k Vol.
$45k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
C
Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by…?

Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by…?

45%

December 31, 2027

$16k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
C
Canada imposes Welland Canal toll on US ships by September 30?

2%

Yes

$602 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
U
US x China tariff agreement by August 31?

No

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
U
US effective tariff rate for Q2 2026?

5%+

$21k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
U
US x China tariff agreement by July 31?

No

$94k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
U
US x China tariff agreement by June 30?

No

$72k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
U
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?

No

$146k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?

Yes

$74k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended
U
U.S. tariff rate on China on March 31?

5–15%

$1.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
27
Ended
T
Trump sued over tariff powers again by March 31?

Yes

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
Ended