Reconciliation Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

W
Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?

22%

December 31

$17k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?

30%

December 31

$4k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

96%

China

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 14 - September 20)

53%

Communist / Communism

$6k Vol.
$220 Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

14%

December 31

$2.0m Vol.
$249k Liq.
35
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

$943k Vol.
$267k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
C
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sinners (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sinners (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs

57%

Alliance

$13 Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
R
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

68%

December 31

$770k Vol.
$80k Liq.
34
Ends in 3 months
W
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

26%

OpenAI

$9k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
S
Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

12%

Yes

$119k Vol.
$254 Liq.
2
Ended
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

35%

None before 2027

$379k Vol.
$585k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be said during the 2026 Sidemen Charity Match?
$29k Vol.
$0 Liq.
17
Ended
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

68%

80-99

$4k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

37%

60-79

$2k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
I
Israel Election: Together vote share?

Israel Election: Together vote share?

43%

9-11%

$735 Vol.
$864 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

62%

March 31, 2027

$11.7m Vol.
$214k Liq.
🔥$60k today
Ends in 6 months
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

42%

80-99

$3k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
I
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

18%

December 31

$4.1m Vol.
$11k Liq.
979
Ends in 3 months
L
LoL: Galions vs Saigon Warriors (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group D

Esports · league of legends

LoL: Galions vs Saigon Warriors (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group D

70%

Galions

$121 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 20 hours
R
Rainbow Six Siege: Titan Esports Club vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - CN League Stage 2 Group Stage

50%

Titan Esports Club

$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 4 days