Primary Predictions & Odds· 81322 markets

F
France United Left Primary Winner

France United Left Primary Winner

93%

Canceled

$229k Vol.
$92k Liq.
31
Ends in 6 months
F
French Socialist Primary: First Round Winner

88%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$5k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in 18 days
F
French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place

71%

Olivier Faure

$5k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 18 days
S
South Carolina Presidential Democratic Primary Winner

50%

Candidate A

$13k Vol.
$133k Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
M
Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?

32%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$333 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will the French Socialist primary be won outright in the first round?

36%

Yes

$645 Vol.
$200 Liq.
2
Ends in 18 days
N
New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory

98%

Pappas 30–35%

$6k Vol.
$100k Liq.
Ended
L
LA-05 Republican Primary Winner

LA-05 Republican Primary Winner

3%

Misti Cordell

$64k Vol.
$60k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
I
Idaho Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$15k Vol.
$67k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
T
TX-03 House Election Margin of Victory

TX-03 House Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$11k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
N
NY-13 House Election Margin of Victory

NY-13 House Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$14k Vol.
$110k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
V
VA-03 House Election Margin of Victory

VA-03 House Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$19k Vol.
$115k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
P
PA-07 House Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$7k Vol.
$78k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

14%

December 31

$2.0m Vol.
$276k Liq.
35
Ended
W
Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

87%

↑$1.0T

$1.2m Vol.
$122k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
M15 Forbach: Theo Herrmann vs Adan Freire Da Silva

Tennis · Sports

M15 Forbach: Theo Herrmann vs Adan Freire Da Silva

100%

Theo Herrmann

$5k Vol.
$89k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
I
Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

84%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$39.5m Vol.
$2.1m Liq.
155
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

89%

↑$1.5T

$5.1m Vol.
$359k Liq.
🔥$123k today
Ends in 3 months