Peace Predictions & Odds· 419 markets

N
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

14%

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

$24.8m Vol.
$2.1m Liq.
🔥$77k today
210
Ends in 6 months
R
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

70%

December 31

$813k Vol.
$133k Liq.
38
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

9%

Yes

$2.8m Vol.
$75k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

5%

December 31

$529k Vol.
$37k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?

1%

Yes

$12k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

3%

Yes

$69k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

3%

Yes

$629k Vol.
$11k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

66%

Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani

$998k Vol.
$228k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27)

96%

Vote / Voter / Votes

$8k Vol.
$215 Liq.
Ends in 4 days
S
Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner

98%

No election before 2027

$112k Vol.
$62k Liq.
7
Ends in 6 months
E
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?

4%

Yes

$462k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Idaho voters choose as their state gun?

50%

Candidate A

$7k Vol.
$30k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

13%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$296 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

17%

December 31

$2.0m Vol.
$263k Liq.
35
Ended
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

83%

Yes

$797k Vol.
$49k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

73%

December 31, 2027

$8.0m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$53k today
216
Ends in 9 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

$1.0m Vol.
$280k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
S
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

30%

October 31

$46k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?

1%

Yes

$74k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

13%

Yes

$1.8m Vol.
$85k Liq.
Ends in 3 months