Peace Predictions & Odds· 441 markets

N
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

16%

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

$24.3m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
208
Ends in 20 days
R
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

68%

December 31

$769k Vol.
$89k Liq.
34
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

11%

Yes

$2.8m Vol.
$57k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?

2%

Yes

$12k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

2%

Yes

$68k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

5%

December 31

$529k Vol.
$23k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

6%

Yes

$620k Vol.
$10k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
W
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

87%

No Meeting by September 30

$6.2m Vol.
$864k Liq.
🔥$207k today
Ends in 11 days
N
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

63%

March 31, 2027

$11.6m Vol.
$214k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

37%

Steve Witkoff

$756k Vol.
$333k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Trump say during the United Nations General Assembly?

85%

Terror / Terrorism

$23k Vol.
$15k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 days
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27)

99%

Trump

$4k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
S
Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner

98%

No election before 2027

$112k Vol.
$57k Liq.
7
Ended
E
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?

4%

Yes

$462k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Idaho voters choose as their state gun?

50%

Candidate A

$7k Vol.
$20k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

14%

December 31

$2.0m Vol.
$288k Liq.
35
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

71%

December 31, 2027

$7.7m Vol.
$908k Liq.
216
Ends in 9 months
C
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sinners (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sinners (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs

57%

Alliance

$11 Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
C
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Honvéd (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Honvéd (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage

64%

G2 Ares

$3k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
C
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Chicken Coop Esports (BO3) - iBUYPOWER Masters fl0m's Mythical LAN Group A

74%

Liquid

$6 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 6 days