Leadership Changes Predictions & Odds· 103 markets

I
Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

26%

June 30, 2027

$25.8m Vol.
$770k Liq.
🔥$55k today
1,090
Ends in 9 months
N
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by...?

Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by...?

28%

March 31, 2027

$277k Vol.
$21k Liq.
24
Ends in 6 months
H
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?

5%

Yes

$308k Vol.
$19k Liq.
12
Ends in 3 months
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

34%

None before 2027

$358k Vol.
$618k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
J
Joe Marsh out as T1 CEO by December 31?

T1 · lol

Joe Marsh out as T1 CEO by December 31?

52%

Yes

$0 Vol.
$22 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?

25%

September 30

$1.8m Vol.
$34k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
P
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

12%

Yes

$159k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
G
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?

15%

Yes

$484k Vol.
$4k Liq.
69
Ends in 3 months
C
Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

12%

Yes

$1.7m Vol.
$35k Liq.
15
Ends in 3 months
D
Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?

5%

Yes

$6k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k Vol.
$286k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
Will TenZ be elected the new Riot Games CEO in 2026?

val · Sports

Will TenZ be elected the new Riot Games CEO in 2026?

0%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$151 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next England National Team Head Coach

FIFA · UEFA

Next England National Team Head Coach

50%

Manager A

$1k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
X
Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

4%

Yes

$13.7m Vol.
$520k Liq.
🔥$145k today
709
Ends in 3 months
O
Ontario Liberal Party Leadership Election Winner

50%

Person A

$6k Vol.
$19k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
I
Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

84%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$39.5m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
155
Ends in 3 months
M
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

14%

Yes

$2.2m Vol.
$27k Liq.
79
Ends in 3 months
A
Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027?

53%

Yes

$31k Vol.
$2k Liq.
20
Ends in 9 months
K
Kennedy Center demolition announced by...?

32%

December 31

$419 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

50%

Other

$105k Vol.
$225k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year