Leadership Changes Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

I
Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

26%

June 30, 2027

$25.9m Vol.
$775k Liq.
🔥$54k today
1,089
Ends in 9 months
C
Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

12%

Yes

$1.7m Vol.
$27k Liq.
15
Ends in 3 months
K
Kennedy Center demolition announced by...?

31%

December 31

$419 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by...?

Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by...?

28%

March 31, 2027

$278k Vol.
$21k Liq.
24
Ends in 6 months
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

34%

None before 2027

$392k Vol.
$591k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
Z
Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by...?

13%

December 31

$2k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?

5%

Yes

$308k Vol.
$20k Liq.
12
Ends in 3 months
J
Joe Marsh out as T1 CEO by December 31?

T1 · lol

Joe Marsh out as T1 CEO by December 31?

52%

Yes

$0 Vol.
$22 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
G
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?

13%

Yes

$486k Vol.
$4k Liq.
69
Ends in 3 months
P
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

12%

Yes

$159k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

Dilution of Iran's Uranium

$946k Vol.
$247k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
D
Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?

5%

Yes

$6k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

Ceasefire

$101k Vol.
$0 Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
M
Manchester United sacks Erik ten Hag?

EPL · Sports

Manchester United sacks Erik ten Hag?

No

$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
W
Which Soccer Managers will be Sacked?

EPL · Sports

Which Soccer Managers will be Sacked?

Mauricio Pochettino

$32k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
W
Who will replace Larry Fink as BlackRock CEO?

Business

Who will replace Larry Fink as BlackRock CEO?

No announcement in 2024

$1.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
A
Any Hamas leader out in January?

No

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
9
Ended
M
Mark Carney out as leader of Liberals in 2025?

No

$75k Vol.
$0 Liq.
10
Ended
K
Katherine Maher out as NPR CEO in April?

Business · All

Katherine Maher out as NPR CEO in April?

No

$7k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
J
Justin Trudeau out as leader of Liberals before April?

Yes

$62k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended