Leadership Changes Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

I
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

Ceasefire

$101k Vol.
$0 Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
M
Manchester United sacks Erik ten Hag?

EPL · Sports

Manchester United sacks Erik ten Hag?

No

$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
W
Which Soccer Managers will be Sacked?

EPL · Sports

Which Soccer Managers will be Sacked?

Mauricio Pochettino

$32k Vol.
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1
Ended
W
Who will replace Larry Fink as BlackRock CEO?

Business

Who will replace Larry Fink as BlackRock CEO?

No announcement in 2024

$1.2m Vol.
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4
Ended
A
Any Hamas leader out in January?

No

$4k Vol.
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9
Ended
M
Mark Carney out as leader of Liberals in 2025?

No

$75k Vol.
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10
Ended
K
Katherine Maher out as NPR CEO in April?

Business · All

Katherine Maher out as NPR CEO in April?

No

$7k Vol.
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Ended
J
Justin Trudeau out as leader of Liberals before April?

Yes

$62k Vol.
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3
Ended
M
Major US official out by May 31?

Yes

$40k Vol.
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M
Major US official out by April 30?

No

$16k Vol.
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N
Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Edition

Yes

$919k Vol.
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27
Ended
W
Who will win California Special Election to replace McCarthy?

Vince Fong

$139k Vol.
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2
Ended
H
Hamas leadership out of Qatar before Trump in office?

No

$802k Vol.
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21
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F
First leader out of power in 2025?

Politics · Geopolitics

First leader out of power in 2025?

Ishiba - Japan PM

$64.4m Vol.
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N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Geopolitics · Politics

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Schoof - Netherlands PM

$11.1m Vol.
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Ends in 3 months
J
John Rustad out as Leader of the Opposition in BC by Dec 31?

Culture · Politics

John Rustad out as Leader of the Opposition in BC by Dec 31?

Yes

$28k Vol.
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Ended
N
Nothing Ever Happens: May

Nothing

$218k Vol.
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Ended
B
Bricks & Minifigs CEO fired/resigns by July 31?

No

$367 Vol.
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Ended