Kharg Island Predictions & Odds· 117 markets

K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

7%

December 31

$74.7m Vol.
$274k Liq.
🔥$455k today
518
Ends in 3 months
F
Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

0%

Yes

$179k Vol.
$92k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
P
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?

23%

December 31

$18k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
K
Khamenei # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

94%

<5

$2k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
N
Nothing Ever Happens: September

Nothing Ever Happens: September

98%

Nothing

$8k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
S
Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...?

98%

September 21

$75k Vol.
$18k Liq.
3
Ends in 4 days
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

100%

September 25

$3.4m Vol.
$489k Liq.
🔥$605k today
Ends in about 1 month
F
Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

0%

Yes

$198k Vol.
$50k Liq.
2
Ends in 5 days
I
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

3%

Yes

$16k Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in 4 days
W
Will Trump announce an acquisition of part of the Chagos Islands before 2027?

3%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$433 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

50%

September 3

$66 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
S
Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by...?

22%

December 31

$3k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Russia enter Khatnie by...?

Will Russia enter Khatnie by...?

23%

Yes

$208k Vol.
$689 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Houthis seize an oil tanker by...?

Houthis seize an oil tanker by...?

16%

October 31

$137k Vol.
$33k Liq.
2
Ends in 5 days
W
Will Iran target Oman by...?

Will Iran target Oman by...?

5%

October 31

$42k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
W
Will Iran target Kuwait by...?

Will Iran target Kuwait by...?

20%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$126 Liq.
Ends in 4 days
W
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?

Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?

4%

Yes

$371k Vol.
$55k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

6%

Yes

$3.4m Vol.
$81k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel military action against Beirut by...?

Israel military action against Beirut by...?

16%

October 31

$384k Vol.
$34k Liq.
10
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by...?

March 31

$2.7m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended