Head Of State Predictions & Odds· 103 markets

V
Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

60%

Nicolás Maduro

$97.7m Vol.
$2.2m Liq.
465
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

87%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$39.6m Vol.
$2.4m Liq.
156
Ends in 3 months
V
Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

92%

Delcy Rodríguez

$404k Vol.
$218k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

3%

Yes

$11.8m Vol.
$95k Liq.
53
Ends in 3 months
U
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

4%

Yes

$638k Vol.
$29k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
H
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?

5%

Yes

$308k Vol.
$19k Liq.
12
Ends in 3 months
M
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

17%

Yes

$2.2m Vol.
$35k Liq.
81
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

3%

Yes

$180k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

41%

No Meeting by December 31

$36k Vol.
$179k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

5%

Yes

$85k Vol.
$21k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

36%

Netanyahu - Israel PM

$586k Vol.
$576k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

$1.1m Vol.
$268k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

24%

June 30, 2027

$26.3m Vol.
$599k Liq.
🔥$184k today
1,089
Ends in 9 months
M
Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?

25%

September 30

$1.8m Vol.
$28k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
K
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by...?

7%

Yes

$297k Vol.
$14k Liq.
57
Ends in 3 months
N
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

61%

December 31, 2026

$71k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Croat President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

61%

Darijana Filipović

$43k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

31%

60-79

$577 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
S
Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?

18%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
P
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?

Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?

3%

Yes

$139k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 3 months