Head Of State Predictions & Odds· 103 markets

V
Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

60%

Nicolás Maduro

$97.6m Vol.
$2.0m Liq.
🔥$159k today
457
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

85%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$39.6m Vol.
$2.3m Liq.
155
Ends in 3 months
V
Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

93%

Delcy Rodríguez

$403k Vol.
$276k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

3%

Yes

$11.8m Vol.
$96k Liq.
53
Ends in 3 months
U
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

4%

Yes

$638k Vol.
$26k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
H
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?

5%

Yes

$308k Vol.
$19k Liq.
12
Ends in 3 months
M
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

14%

Yes

$2.2m Vol.
$22k Liq.
81
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

3%

Yes

$180k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

41%

USA

$19k Vol.
$112k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

6%

Yes

$84k Vol.
$21k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

38%

None before 2027

$572k Vol.
$632k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

$1.0m Vol.
$264k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

26%

June 30, 2027

$26.1m Vol.
$762k Liq.
🔥$52k today
1,089
Ends in 9 months
M
Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?

25%

September 30

$1.8m Vol.
$30k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
K
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by...?

7%

Yes

$296k Vol.
$14k Liq.
57
Ends in 3 months
N
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

77%

December 31, 2026

$26k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of Xi summit?

1%

Yes

$28k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 14 days
N
Next Croat President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

64%

Darijana Filipović

$43k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

39%

60-79

$365 Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
P
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?

Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?

3%

Yes

$139k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 3 months