Head Of State Predictions & Odds· 105 markets

V
Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

59%

Nicolás Maduro

$97.5m Vol.
$2.3m Liq.
🔥$116k today
455
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

85%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$39.5m Vol.
$2.1m Liq.
155
Ends in 3 months
V
Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

93%

Delcy Rodríguez

$403k Vol.
$296k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

3%

Yes

$11.8m Vol.
$97k Liq.
53
Ends in 3 months
U
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

4%

Yes

$638k Vol.
$26k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
H
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?

5%

Yes

$308k Vol.
$19k Liq.
12
Ends in 3 months
M
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

16%

Yes

$2.2m Vol.
$29k Liq.
81
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

3%

Yes

$180k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

42%

USA

$14k Vol.
$118k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

6%

Yes

$83k Vol.
$22k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

36%

Netanyahu - Israel PM

$555k Vol.
$729k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

$999k Vol.
$282k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
K
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by...?

7%

Yes

$296k Vol.
$17k Liq.
57
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

26%

June 30, 2027

$26.0m Vol.
$688k Liq.
1,089
Ends in 9 months
N
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

87%

December 31, 2026

$12k Vol.
$60k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Croat President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

65%

Darijana Filipović

$43k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
T
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of Xi summit?

2%

Yes

$25k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
M
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

20%

December 31

$7.2m Vol.
$112k Liq.
409
Ends in 3 months
P
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?

Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?

3%

Yes

$139k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Trump say during his remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival?

58%

China 5+ times

$8k Vol.
$82k Liq.
1
Ends in 1 day