Gov Shutdown Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

S
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by...?

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by...?

63%

Yes

$31k Vol.
$209 Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
S
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by...?

34%

Yes

$354k Vol.
$205 Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Bernie endorse?

Who will Bernie endorse?

21%

James Talarico - TX-Sen

$188k Vol.
$48k Liq.
5
Ends in about 1 month
W
Who will Trump endorse?

Who will Trump endorse?

2%

Yes

$251k Vol.
$14k Liq.
6
Ends in about 1 month
G
Government shutdown by October 1?

Government shutdown by October 1?

2%

Yes

$16k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

93%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$342k Vol.
$43k Liq.
12
Ends in about 1 month
F
Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?

2%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

19%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

$949k Vol.
$142k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

64%

December 31

$30.2m Vol.
$457k Liq.
🔥$288k today
594
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

12%

Yes

$31k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

43%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$450 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

2%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

16%

Yes

$53k Vol.
$5k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
W
White House # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

65%

200+

$15k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 17 hours
C
CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by...?

86%

October 31

$9k Vol.
$5k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
T
Trump renames AI by September 30?

Trump renames AI by September 30?

8%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$14k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 days
T
Trump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order by...?

40%

December 31

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Tim Walz charged by...?

Tim Walz charged by...?

6%

Yes

$520k Vol.
$13k Liq.
48
Ends in 3 months
U
US defaults on debt by 2027?

US defaults on debt by 2027?

2%

Yes

$18k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?

77%

October 31

$875k Vol.
$94k Liq.
🔥$175k today
49
Ends in 9 days