Frontiermath Predictions & Odds· 110 markets

S
Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

6%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
F
Frontier AI labs announce joint pacing agreement in 2026?

54%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$517 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
E
Elon Musk signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

3%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
F
Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026?

25%

Yes

$114 Vol.
$120 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Counter-Strike: BOJONG vs The Golden Horde (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #9 Playoffs

45%

BOJONG

$101 Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ended
C
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Prospect vs Passion Academy (BO3) - United21 Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Prospect vs Passion Academy (BO3) - United21 Playoffs

100%

Inner Circle Prospect

$26k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 3 hours
R
Rainbow Six Siege: For Fun Esports vs Wildcard Gaming (BO1) - North America League Stage 2 Group Stage

51%

For Fun Esports

$0 Vol.
$234 Liq.
Ends in 5 days
A
Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?

69%

Anthropic

$180 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in over 2 years
L
LoL: Onetricks vs The Secret Man (BO3) - FLASH Oceania Playoffs

Esports · league of legends

LoL: Onetricks vs The Secret Man (BO3) - FLASH Oceania Playoffs

$2k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
O
OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

19%

OpenAI + Anthropic

$8k Vol.
$4k Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

87%

Anthropic

$82k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
G
Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

40%+

$146k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
X
xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

25%+

$24k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
A
Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

25%+

$77k Vol.
$0 Liq.
13
Ended
O
OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

45%+

$43k Vol.
$0 Liq.
10
Ended
A
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Yes

$134k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
G
Gemini 3 score on FrontierMath Benchmark by January 31?

40%+

$2.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
G
GPT-5 scores ≥ 70% on FrontierMath Benchmark by...?

December 31

$35k Vol.
$0 Liq.
9
Ended
A
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?

No

$155k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
A
Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by...?

Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by...?

September 30

$10k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 3 months