Federal Government Predictions & Odds· 1237 markets

W
Which companies will the US take a stake in?

56%

Unusual Machines

$192k Vol.
$7k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

19%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

$1.1m Vol.
$164k Liq.
🔥$53k today
8
Ends in 3 months
J
Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

1%

Yes

$319k Vol.
$3k Liq.
33
Ends in 3 months
F
Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?

1%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
G
Government shutdown by October 1?

Government shutdown by October 1?

0%

Yes

$16k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
O
Obama federally charged before 2027?

Obama federally charged before 2027?

5%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Nick Fuentes federally charged?

Nick Fuentes federally charged?

1%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$5k Liq.
3
Ends in 2 days
F
Fed abolished before 2027?

Fed abolished before 2027?

1%

Yes

$8k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
E
E. Jean Carroll federally charged by...?

25%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$65 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump nationalize elections?

Will Trump nationalize elections?

8%

Yes

$20k Vol.
$17k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

93%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$343k Vol.
$48k Liq.
12
Ends in 4 months
G
Gavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026?

8%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$11k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump renames AI by...?

Trump renames AI by...?

57%

December 31

$570k Vol.
$54k Liq.
🔥$173k today
41
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

9%

Yes

$35k Vol.
$7k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

17%

Yes

$38k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

44%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$472 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by...?

13%

Yes

$95k Vol.
$103 Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

55%

No Next Chancellor before 2028

$46k Vol.
$194k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
S
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

8%

October 31

$6k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

16%

Yes

$53k Vol.
$7k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months