Executive Order Predictions & Odds· 343 markets

T
Trump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order by...?

14%

December 31

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by...?

38%

September 30

$6k Vol.
$429 Liq.
Ends in 11 days
S
SCOTUS grants Trump Birthright Citizenship Rehearing by December 31?

6%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

50%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$434 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump renames Lake Okeechobee to "Trump Lake" in 2026?

5%

Yes

$485 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump Space Academy begins training by June 30, 2027?

11%

Yes

$806 Vol.
$372 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
T
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by...?

6%

December 31

$122k Vol.
$55k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026?

Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026?

5%

Yes

$18k Vol.
$25k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

13%

Yes

$34k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

11%

Yes

$31k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

16%

Yes

$53k Vol.
$4k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
U
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?

8%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US Treasury announces Bitcoin purchase by ___?

37%

December 31, 2027

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
U
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

1%

Yes

$172k Vol.
$32k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
J
Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by December 31?

8%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$823 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

3%

Yes

$35.5m Vol.
$180k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

87%

Yes

$288k Vol.
$1k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months
U
US charges Hormuz fees by...?

US charges Hormuz fees by...?

6%

Yes

$984k Vol.
$31k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?

3%

Yes

$69k Vol.
$13k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump announce an acquisition of part of the Chagos Islands before 2027?

5%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months