Executive Order Predictions & Odds· 344 markets

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Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by...?

32%

September 30

$6k Vol.
$438 Liq.
Ends in 9 days
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Trump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order by...?

38%

December 31

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
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Trump renames AI by September 30?

Trump renames AI by September 30?

8%

Yes

$6k Vol.
$12k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 days
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SCOTUS grants Trump Birthright Citizenship Rehearing by December 31?

6%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
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Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

41%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$484 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump renames Lake Okeechobee to "Trump Lake" in 2026?

5%

Yes

$485 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump Space Academy begins training by June 30, 2027?

11%

Yes

$806 Vol.
$441 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
T
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by...?

6%

December 31

$124k Vol.
$49k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026?

Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026?

5%

Yes

$18k Vol.
$26k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

12%

Yes

$35k Vol.
$4k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

12%

Yes

$31k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

16%

Yes

$53k Vol.
$5k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
U
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?

8%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
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US Treasury announces Bitcoin purchase by ___?

36%

December 31, 2027

$2k Vol.
$861 Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
U
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

2%

Yes

$173k Vol.
$30k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
J
Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by December 31?

8%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$812 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

3%

Yes

$35.5m Vol.
$191k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

87%

Yes

$288k Vol.
$1k Liq.
36
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US charges Hormuz fees by...?

US charges Hormuz fees by...?

6%

Yes

$984k Vol.
$29k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?

3%

Yes

$69k Vol.
$13k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months