Executive Action Predictions & Odds· 109 markets

T
Trump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order by...?

14%

December 31

$1k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by...?

37%

September 30

$6k Vol.
$426 Liq.
Ends in 11 days
T
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

48%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$437 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
I
Insurrection Act invoked by...?

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

14%

December 31

$1.1m Vol.
$26k Liq.
72
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

6%

Yes

$10.7m Vol.
$66k Liq.
273
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump declares election interference national emergency by...?

16%

Yes

$199k Vol.
$14k Liq.
16
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?

5%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$26k Liq.
3
Ends in 6 months
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

35%

None before 2027

$362k Vol.
$601k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will there be a power grid emergency before October 1?

11%

Central US (SPP)

$40k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
U
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

13%

Yes

$34k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump nationalize elections?

Will Trump nationalize elections?

8%

Yes

$20k Vol.
$14k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

16%

Yes

$53k Vol.
$5k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

11%

Yes

$31k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

46%

December 31

$2k Vol.
$234 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

84%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$39.5m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
155
Ends in 3 months
W
White House # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

54%

160-179

$10k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
W
White House # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

41%

200+

$282 Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026?

7%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump renames ICE to NICE by...?

6%

Yes

$242k Vol.
$10k Liq.
4
Ended
W
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

6%

Yes

$83k Vol.
$22k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months