Weather Predictions & Odds· 520 markets

W
Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?

22%

Yes

$43 Vol.
$158 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Where will it rain on September 20?

88%

New York, NY

$0 Vol.
$208 Liq.
Ends in 2 days
W
Where will it rain on September 19?

Where will it rain on September 19?

91%

Chicago, IL

$4k Vol.
$429 Liq.
Ends in about 23 hours
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Where will it rain on September 18?

100%

Denver, CO

$3k Vol.
$995 Liq.
Ended
F
First snow of the 2026 season

First snow of the 2026 season

99%

Denver, CO by November 30

$12k Vol.
$4k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
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Where will it rain on August 10?

Singapore

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$308 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

14%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$901k Vol.
$197k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
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Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record?

98%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$354 Liq.
Ends in 11 days
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Highest temperature in Panama City on September 21?

34%

31°C

$374 Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
S
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

96%

October 31

$690k Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Which cities face tornado risk on September 19?

50%

San Antonio, TX

$170 Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 17 hours
W
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?

27%

Hanna

$29k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
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Precipitation in London in September?

Precipitation in London in September?

63%

<30mm

$16k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
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Lowest temperature in London on September 21?

28%

11°C

$1k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
L
Lowest temperature in London on September 20?

47%

14°C

$5k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 17 hours
L
Lowest temperature in NYC on September 21?

33%

62-63°F

$442 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
H
Highest temperature in London on September 21?

48%

23°C

$9k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
H
Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 21?

53%

27°C or higher

$869 Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
H
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 21?

32%

17°C

$229 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 1 day