Executive Action Predictions & Odds· 237 markets

W
Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?

5%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$26k Liq.
3
Ends in 6 months
W
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026?

7%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
J
Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by December 31?

8%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump renames ICE to NICE by...?

6%

Yes

$242k Vol.
$10k Liq.
4
Ended
W
Will Trump nationalize elections?

Will Trump nationalize elections?

8%

Yes

$20k Vol.
$14k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

4%

Yes

$10.7m Vol.
$65k Liq.
273
Ends in 3 months
T
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?

12%

Yes

$56k Vol.
$1k Liq.
5
Ends in 4 months
T
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

56%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$415 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

12%

Yes

$34k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

16%

Yes

$53k Vol.
$4k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

13%

Yes

$30k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by...?

5%

December 31

$122k Vol.
$61k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?

2%

Yes

$116k Vol.
$1k Liq.
19
Ends in 3 months
U
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

3%

Yes

$168k Vol.
$27k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026?

Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026?

5%

Yes

$18k Vol.
$25k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
U
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?

8%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Canada becomes EU Associate Member by...?

16%

December 31, 2027

$2k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
B
Biden executive action on US-Mexico border in February?

No

$15k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
T
Trump executive action ending payments to Colombia by Friday?

No

$13k Vol.
$0 Liq.
24
Ended
T
Trump reinstates Mexico City policy on Day 1?

No

$7k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended