Climate Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

W
Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?

10%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?

22%

Yes

$43 Vol.
$158 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
F
First snow of the 2026 season

First snow of the 2026 season

99%

Denver, CO by November 30

$12k Vol.
$4k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Where will it rain on September 20?

88%

New York, NY

$0 Vol.
$208 Liq.
Ends in 2 days
S
September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

48%

1.35–1.39ºC

$2k Vol.
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W
Where will it rain on September 18?

100%

Denver, CO

$3k Vol.
$995 Liq.
Ended
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Where will it rain on September 19?

Where will it rain on September 19?

91%

Chicago, IL

$4k Vol.
$429 Liq.
Ends in about 23 hours
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Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

74%

1

$3.5m Vol.
$204k Liq.
27
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M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$308 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record?

98%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$354 Liq.
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S
September 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?

97%

2nd hottest

$4k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

14%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$901k Vol.
$197k Liq.
8
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W
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?

94%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$2k Liq.
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Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?

75%

Yes

$703 Vol.
$381 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?

27%

Hanna

$29k Vol.
$7k Liq.
1
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W
What will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of September 21 2026?

50%

↑ $3.60

$369 Vol.
$14 Liq.
Ends in 6 days
H
How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?

61%

1-3

$32k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

44%

↓ 0.40

$79k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record?

100%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
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Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?

34%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$25 Liq.
Ends in 3 months