Diplomacy Predictions & Odds· 115 markets

R
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?

86%

December 31

$238k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?

48%

December 31

$190k Vol.
$39k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by...?

19%

October 31

$16k Vol.
$378 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
US x North Korea diplomatic meeting by...?

41%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$207 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
N
North Korea x South Korea diplomatic meeting by...? (direct or indirect)

71%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$141 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US expels a Brazilian diplomat by September 30?

2%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
I
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

5%

Yes

$98k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
U
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by...?

26%

Yes

$38k Vol.
$257 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

4%

Yes

$114k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

5%

Yes

$350k Vol.
$22k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
W
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

85%

No Meeting by September 30

$6.1m Vol.
$929k Liq.
🔥$196k today
Ends in 11 days
N
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

63%

March 31, 2027

$11.6m Vol.
$251k Liq.
🔥$54k today
Ends in 6 months
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

35%

Steve Witkoff

$750k Vol.
$325k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

14%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$901k Vol.
$291k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

68%

December 31

$768k Vol.
$104k Liq.
34
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

9%

Yes

$3.5m Vol.
$10k Liq.
22
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

9%

Yes

$2.1m Vol.
$14k Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

9%

Yes

$239k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

8%

Yes

$436k Vol.
$53k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$328 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months