Department Of War Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

W
Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?

4%

Yes

$12k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?

11%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

3%

Yes

$7.8m Vol.
$69k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
P
Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

Politics

Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

4%

Yes

$171k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

97%

September 25

$2.0m Vol.
$542k Liq.
🔥$241k today
Ends in about 1 month
W
Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

35%

Moonshot AI

$96k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

50%

September 3

$66 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
F
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by...?

16%

December 31

$8k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

3%

September 30

$13k Vol.
$35k Liq.
1
Ends in 8 days
T
Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?

8%

Yes

$49k Vol.
$21k Liq.
1
Ends in 8 days
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?

1%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

30%

Tencent

$388k Vol.
$56k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

24%

Yes

$446k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?

7%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

19%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$967k Vol.
$145k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

14%

December 31

$2.0m Vol.
$237k Liq.
35
Ended
H
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

49%

October 31

$5k Vol.
$22k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
S
Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by...?

10%

December 31

$2k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

99%

September 22

$16k Vol.
$62k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

97%

September 30

$31.3m Vol.
$302k Liq.
🔥$220k today
293
Ends in 3 months