Department Of War Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

W
Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?

4%

Yes

$12k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?

15%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$62 Liq.
Ends in 11 days
W
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

3%

Yes

$7.8m Vol.
$71k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
P
Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

Politics

Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

4%

Yes

$171k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

98%

September 20

$419k Vol.
$264k Liq.
🔥$326k today
Ends in about 1 month
W
Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

36%

Moonshot AI

$96k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

50%

September 3

$66 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
F
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by...?

6%

October 31

$4k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

5%

September 30

$13k Vol.
$29k Liq.
1
Ends in 11 days
T
Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?

2%

Yes

$21k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?

3%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
W
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

48%

Baidu

$315k Vol.
$76k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

25%

Yes

$444k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?

8%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

14%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$901k Vol.
$233k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

14%

December 31

$2.0m Vol.
$266k Liq.
35
Ends in 3 months
H
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

26%

October 31

$2k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by...?

7%

December 31

$2k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

96%

September 30

$30.5m Vol.
$219k Liq.
🔥$60k today
292
Ends in 3 months
H
How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

65%

8

$1.7m Vol.
$131k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months