Degree Revocation Predictions & Odds· 115 markets

F
FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?

9%

Yes

$38k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
 Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?

Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?

2%

Yes

$50k Vol.
$10k Liq.
14
Ends in 3 months
Z
Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?

0%

Yes

$34k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?

18%

October 31

$356k Vol.
$22k Liq.
6
Ends in 11 days
S
SCOTUS grants Trump Birthright Citizenship Rehearing by December 31?

6%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

31%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Hawaii reach Coral Bleaching Alert Level 1 by December 31, 2026?

75%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$349 Liq.
Ends in 4 months
U
US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by...?

US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by...?

41%

December 31

$49k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
T
Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026?

3%

Yes

$22k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Wisconsin disenfranchise any voter for betting on elections before election day?

5%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

5%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$10k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

34%

None before 2027

$358k Vol.
$618k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

60%

December 31

$29.7m Vol.
$508k Liq.
🔥$384k today
574
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?

4%

Yes

$12k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026?

13%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
N
Neri Oxman's MIT degree revoked?

All · neri oxman

Neri Oxman's MIT degree revoked?

No

$7k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
Ended
W
Will Trump win 55% of voters without a college degree?

Yes

$666k Vol.
$0 Liq.
13
Ended
W
What will Powell say at Princeton Commencement Speech?

Federal Reserve 2+

$142k Vol.
$0 Liq.
33
Ended