Climate Change Predictions & Odds· 117 markets

W
Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?

10%

Yes

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What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

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What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

49%

↓ $0.03

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F
First snow of the 2026 season

First snow of the 2026 season

99%

Denver, CO by November 30

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1
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MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

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S
September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

48%

1.35–1.39ºC

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Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

73%

1

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27
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Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?

78%

Yes

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What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño?

73%

Over 2.5

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What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

43%

↓ 0.40

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W
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?

94%

Yes

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S
September 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?

97%

2nd hottest

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What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

78%

↑ $6

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W
What will Trump say this week (November 10 - 16)?

MAGA / Make America Great Again

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What will Obama say during DNC speech?

Hope

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What will RFK Jr. say during Friday address?

CIA

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What will the next Pope believe in?

Promoting a “Synodal Church”

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What will Gretchen Whitmer say during DNC speech?

Michigan

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What will Pete Buttigieg say during DNC speech?

Manufacturing

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Global Heat Increase 2024

Science · Global Temp

Global Heat Increase 2024

1.28-1.30

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