Climate 预测与赔率· 104 个市场

W
Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?

Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?

10%

Yes

$14k 交易量
$11k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?

22%

Yes

$43 交易量
$413 流动性
9 个月后结束
F
First snow of the 2026 season

First snow of the 2026 season

99%

Denver, CO by November 30

$12k 交易量
$7k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束
W
Where will it rain on September 20?

Where will it rain on September 20?

88%

New York, NY

$0 交易量
$208 流动性
2 天后结束
S
September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

46%

1.35–1.39ºC

$2k 交易量
$2k 流动性
20 天后结束
W
Where will it rain on September 18?

Where will it rain on September 18?

100%

Denver, CO

$3k 交易量
$1k 流动性
大约 2 小时后结束
W
Where will it rain on September 19?

Where will it rain on September 19?

99%

Chicago, IL

$3k 交易量
$978 流动性
1 天后结束
W
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

74%

1

$3.5m 交易量
$217k 流动性
27
3 个月后结束
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m 交易量
$330 流动性
135
3 个月后结束
W
Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record?

98%

Yes

$2k 交易量
$497 流动性
11 天后结束
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$901k 交易量
$228k 流动性
8
3 个月后结束
W
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?

94%

Yes

$9k 交易量
$3k 流动性
6 个月后结束
W
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?

25%

Gonzalo

$29k 交易量
$17k 流动性
1
2 个月后结束
W
Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?

Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?

75%

Yes

$703 交易量
$494 流动性
6 个月后结束
W
What will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of September 21 2026?

50%

↑ $3.60

$369 交易量
$112 流动性
6 天后结束
H
How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?

61%

1-3

$32k 交易量
$7k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record?

Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record?

100%

Yes

$2k 交易量
$3k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

44%

↓ 0.40

$79k 交易量
$2k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束
W
Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?

33%

Yes

$2k 交易量
$94 流动性
3 个月后结束
H
How many states will be in D4 (Exceptional Drought) — week of September 22, 2026?

50%

1-2 states

$25 交易量
$75 流动性
5 天后结束