Chancellor Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

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Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

22%

December 31, 2026

$1.8m Vol.
$160k Liq.
🔥$68k today
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

50%

Person A

$19k Vol.
$163k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k Vol.
$289k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$336 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

49%

↓ $0.03

$17k Vol.
$1k Liq.
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W
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

50%

Other

$105k Vol.
$220k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
W
What will be in the UK Budget?

What will be in the UK Budget?

55%

CGT increase

$666 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?

25%

Yes

$24k Vol.
$2k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
W
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

14%

Yes

$81k Vol.
$15k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
W
White House # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

60%

160-179

$10k Vol.
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W
White House # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

39%

180-199

$5k Vol.
$7k Liq.
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W
White House # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

46%

200+

$247 Vol.
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W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

61%

None before 2027

$69k Vol.
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L
LoL: Project Conquerors vs Galions Sharks (BO5) - Nexus League Playoffs

Esports · league of legends

LoL: Project Conquerors vs Galions Sharks (BO5) - Nexus League Playoffs

$8k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
L
LAPTOP airdrop to $TRUMP holders by ___?

LAPTOP airdrop to $TRUMP holders by ___?

34%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$146 Liq.
2
Ends in 11 days
T
Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

1%

Yes

$30k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

22%

Yes

$19k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
E
European T20 Premier League: Edinburgh Castle Rockers vs Belfast Wolves

55%

Edinburgh Castle Rockers

$547 Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in September 2026?

75%

↑ $224

$58k Vol.
$108k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
W
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?

9%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$214 Liq.
Ends in 3 months