Chancellor Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

F
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

24%

December 31, 2026

$1.7m Vol.
$141k Liq.
🔥$66k today
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

50%

Person A

$17k Vol.
$157k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

14%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$901k Vol.
$291k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

35%

50

$23k Vol.
$1k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$328 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will LAB hit in 2026?

What price will LAB hit in 2026?

6%

↑ $22

$46k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in the UK Budget?

What will be in the UK Budget?

55%

CGT increase

$666 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

49%

↓ $0.03

$17k Vol.
$512 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

14%

Yes

$81k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

50%

Other

$105k Vol.
$187k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
W
White House # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

42%

200+

$5k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

60%

None before 2027

$69k Vol.
$253k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
L
LoL: Project Conquerors vs Galions Sharks (BO5) - Nexus League Playoffs

Esports · league of legends

LoL: Project Conquerors vs Galions Sharks (BO5) - Nexus League Playoffs

$8k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
L
LAPTOP airdrop to $TRUMP holders by ___?

LAPTOP airdrop to $TRUMP holders by ___?

32%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$141 Liq.
2
Ends in 11 days
T
Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

1%

Yes

$30k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
E
European T20 Premier League: Edinburgh Castle Rockers vs Belfast Wolves

55%

Edinburgh Castle Rockers

$92 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

23%

Yes

$19k Vol.
$809 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in September 2026?

87%

↑ $224

$58k Vol.
$106k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
W
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?

8%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$282 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

14%

Yes

$22k Vol.
$50 Liq.
Ends in 3 months