German Politics Predictions & Odds· 110 markets

W
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?

34%

Yes

$32k Vol.
$295 Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
W
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

14%

Yes

$81k Vol.
$12k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

50%

Person A

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3
Ends in over 1 year
A
AfD wins the most seats in how many September state elections?

53%

2

$160k Vol.
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Ends in 3 months
M
MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner

Sports · Goals

MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner

55%

Lionel Messi

$935k Vol.
$22k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months
M
Michoacán Governor Election Winner

Michoacán Governor Election Winner

63%

Carlos Torres Piña

$58k Vol.
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Ends in 9 months
B
Berlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or AfD?

74%

CDU

$11k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Berlin State Elections: CDU # of seats?

42%

35-39

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B
Berlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or Grüne?

87%

CDU

$4k Vol.
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Ends in 3 months
B
Berlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or Linke?

37%

CDU

$2k Vol.
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Ends in 3 months
B
Berlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or SPD?

98%

CDU

$760 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Berlin State Election: CDU Vote Share?

Berlin State Election: CDU Vote Share?

46%

17-20%

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W
Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government?

91%

Grüne

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B
Berlin State Elections: AfD # of seats?

37%

35+

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Ends in 1 day
B
Berlin State Election: More Votes to AfD or Grüne?

87%

AfD

$4k Vol.
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Ends in 3 months
B
Berlin State Elections: Grüne # of seats?

48%

<20

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B
Berlin State Election: More Votes to Linke or AfD?

79%

Linke

$544 Vol.
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Ends in 3 months
B
Berlin State Election: CDU Over/Under 20%?

47%

Over

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B
Berlin State Elections: Linke # of seats?

52%

35-39

$54k Vol.
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B
Berlin State Election: AfD Vote Share?

Berlin State Election: AfD Vote Share?

57%

17-20%

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1
Ends in 1 day