Chancellor Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

F
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

24%

December 31, 2026

$2.1m Vol.
$205k Liq.
🔥$361k today
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

50%

Person A

$29k Vol.
$172k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

Dilution of Iran's Uranium

$946k Vol.
$248k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

15%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$359 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

49%

↓ $0.03

$17k Vol.
$868 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

50%

Other

$106k Vol.
$180k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
W
What will be in the UK Budget?

What will be in the UK Budget?

55%

CGT increase

$1k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?

30%

Yes

$25k Vol.
$2k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
W
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

16%

Yes

$81k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
W
White House # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

56%

180-199

$13k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
W
White House # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

49%

200+

$7k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
W
White House # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

52%

200+

$633 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

62%

None before 2027

$69k Vol.
$241k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
L
LoL: Project Conquerors vs Galions Sharks (BO5) - Nexus League Playoffs

Esports · league of legends

LoL: Project Conquerors vs Galions Sharks (BO5) - Nexus League Playoffs

$8k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
L
LAPTOP airdrop to $TRUMP holders by ___?

LAPTOP airdrop to $TRUMP holders by ___?

33%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$144 Liq.
2
Ends in 10 days
T
Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

1%

Yes

$30k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

24%

Yes

$20k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in September 2026?

91%

↑ $224

$60k Vol.
$108k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?

9%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$214 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

14%

Yes

$22k Vol.
$51 Liq.
Ends in 3 months