Chancellor Predictions & Odds· 125 markets

F
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

24%

December 31, 2026

$2.1m Vol.
$219k Liq.
🔥$357k today
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

50%

Person A

$29k Vol.
$158k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
W
What will be in the UK Budget?

What will be in the UK Budget?

55%

CGT increase

$1k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

16%

Yes

$81k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Armin Laschet be the next chancellor of Germany?
$83k Vol.
$0 Liq.
N
Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026?

John Healey

$1.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
38
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Trump say during events with Chancellor Merz on March 3?

Percent 7+ times

$188k Vol.
$0 Liq.
34
Ended
F
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany in 2025?

No

$217k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
S
Scholz out as chancellor of Germany in 2024?

No

$627k Vol.
$0 Liq.
67
Ended
N
Next Chancellor of Germany?

Friedrich Merz (CDU)

$40.9m Vol.
$0 Liq.
930
Ended
W
What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Mr. Speaker 10+ times

$64k Vol.
$0 Liq.
21
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E
Euro Finals: Who will score?

Euro 2024 · Sports

Euro Finals: Who will score?

Harry Kane

$24k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
K
Kentucky Derby Winner

racing · horse racing

Kentucky Derby Winner

Mystik Dan

$59k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
W
Will Trump sue 'The Apprentice' in May?

No

$19k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
S
Senegal Presidential Election Winner

Bassirou Diomaye Faye

$77k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
S
Scarlett Johansson sues OpenAI in May?

No

$16k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
#
# of Elon Musk tweets between April 26 and May 3?

Business · Twitter

# of Elon Musk tweets between April 26 and May 3?

60-79

$573k Vol.
$0 Liq.
34
Ended
M
March Madness: Team from which region wins?

Basketball · March Madness

March Madness: Team from which region wins?

East

$39k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended