Approval Predictions & Odds· 611 markets

H
How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

13%

↑ 47%

$8k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

24%

35%

$142k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

65%

December 31, 2027

$102k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
F
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

3%

Yes

$587k Vol.
$10k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
S
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?

Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?

88%

June 30, 2027?

$44k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
I
Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by...?

96%

Yes

$27k Vol.
$608 Liq.
7
Ended
C
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

Iran · Trump

Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

8%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$522 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump praise Allah again by September 30?

26%

Yes

$424 Vol.
$283 Liq.
Ends in 11 days
U
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

11%

December 31

$17.8m Vol.
$450k Liq.
🔥$67k today
156
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump x Taliban mineral deal signed in 2026?

Trump x Taliban mineral deal signed in 2026?

8%

Yes

$237 Vol.
$8k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
H
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?

Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?

3%

Yes

$139k Vol.
$40k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
S
Switzerland’s September Referendum: What will pass?

2%

Food initiative

$48k Vol.
$46k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Who will Trump publicly praise in September?

67%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$51k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
S
Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

69%

VAT federal decree

$9k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
O
OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

12%

December 31, 2026

$540 Vol.
$806 Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
M
Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?

40%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$320 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

57%

OpenAI

$491 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

25%

Mexico

$393k Vol.
$111k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?

22%

Yes

$22k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
W
Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by...?

25%

December 31

$64k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months