Approval Predictions & Odds· 649 markets

H
How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

27%

35%

$144k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

47%

Up

$287 Vol.
$163 Liq.
Ends in 5 days
T
Trump approval rating on September 25?

43%

38.5–38.9

$50 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
H
How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

10%

↑ 47%

$8k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
F
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

65%

December 31, 2027

$103k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$349 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
F
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

5%

Yes

$589k Vol.
$11k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
S
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?

Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?

88%

June 30, 2027?

$44k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
I
Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by...?

98%

Yes

$27k Vol.
$8k Liq.
7
Ended
C
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

Iran · Trump

Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

8%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$546 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump praise Allah again by September 30?

30%

Yes

$424 Vol.
$241 Liq.
Ends in 10 days
U
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

11%

December 31

$17.8m Vol.
$407k Liq.
🔥$101k today
156
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump x Taliban mineral deal signed in 2026?

Trump x Taliban mineral deal signed in 2026?

9%

Yes

$348 Vol.
$205 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
H
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?

Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?

3%

Yes

$139k Vol.
$50k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
S
Switzerland’s September Referendum: What will pass?

2%

Food initiative

$49k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
Who will Trump publicly praise in September?

75%

Zohran Mamdani

$51k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
S
Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

71%

VAT federal decree

$9k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
O
OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

40%

December 31, 2026

$1k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
M
Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?

52%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$298 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

59%

OpenAI

$491 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year