Approval Predictions & Odds· 649 markets

T
Trump approval rating on September 25?

41%

38.0–38.4

$2k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
T
Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

33%

Up

$549 Vol.
$134 Liq.
Ends in 4 days
H
How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

50%

36%

$144k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

11%

↑ 47%

$8k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

66%

December 31, 2027

$117k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

12%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$337 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
F
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

4%

Yes

$589k Vol.
$6k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
S
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?

Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?

88%

June 30, 2027?

$46k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
I
Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by...?

97%

Yes

$27k Vol.
$9k Liq.
7
Ended
C
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

Iran · Trump

Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

8%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$573 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump praise Allah again by September 30?

30%

Yes

$424 Vol.
$164 Liq.
Ends in 9 days
U
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

12%

December 31

$17.9m Vol.
$398k Liq.
156
Ended
T
Trump x Taliban mineral deal signed in 2026?

Trump x Taliban mineral deal signed in 2026?

7%

Yes

$348 Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
H
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?

Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?

3%

Yes

$139k Vol.
$47k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
S
Switzerland’s September Referendum: What will pass?

3%

Food initiative

$51k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
Who will Trump publicly praise in September?

87%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$52k Vol.
$937 Liq.
Ends in 9 days
S
Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

72%

VAT federal decree

$9k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
O
OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

16%

December 31, 2026

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
M
Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?

33%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$310 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

60%

OpenAI

$495 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year