Abbott Elementary Predictions & Odds· 114 markets

R
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

51%

J.D. Vance

$706.6m Vol.
$52.0m Liq.
🔥$880k today
438
Ends in about 2 years
P
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

21%

JD Vance

$707.3m Vol.
$60.3m Liq.
🔥$109k today
1,032
Ends in about 2 years
W
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

13%

Gavin Newsom

$1.1m Vol.
$778k Liq.
21
Ends in 3 months
M
MLB: ERA Leader

MLB · baseball

MLB: ERA Leader

3%

Max Fried

$1.8m Vol.
$10k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 days
W
Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

90%

J.D. Vance

$83k Vol.
$399k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
R
Republican VP Nominee 2028

Republican VP Nominee 2028

30%

Marco Rubio

$47k Vol.
$867k Liq.
1
Ends in almost 2 years
W
Who will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?

50%

J.D. Vance

$20k Vol.
$154k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 years
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

96%

45%+

$24k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Texas Governor Election Margin of Victory

Texas Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$4k Vol.
$85k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

99%

$170 billion

$23k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k Vol.
$280k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

93%

40%+

$67k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Ted Cruz # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

35%

80-99

$3k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
White House # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

41%

200+

$5k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
White House # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

41%

200+

$294 Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
White House # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

57%

160-179

$10k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
T
Ted Cruz # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

53%

100-119

$504 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
T
Ted Cruz # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

57%

100-119

$4k Vol.
$981 Liq.
Ends in 2 days
B
Best AI model on September 21?

Best AI model on September 21?

95%

claude-fable-5.1-max

$31k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$335 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months