6 More Weeks Of Winter Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

H
How many states will be in D4 (Exceptional Drought) — week of September 29, 2026?

50%

3-4 states

$20 Vol.
$11 Liq.
Ends in 3 days
F
First snow of the 2026 season

First snow of the 2026 season

98%

Indianapolis, IN by November 30

$13k Vol.
$8k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$1.1m Vol.
$164k Liq.
🔥$53k today
8
Ends in 3 months
P
PPI YoY - September 2026

PPI YoY - September 2026

39%

5.9%+

$15k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 17 days
W
Where will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of September?

20%

Peru

$5k Vol.
$461 Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?

48%

Florida

$21k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
G
GDP growth in 2026

GDP growth in 2026

54%

2.0–2.5%

$84k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
N
Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

13%

Yes

$247k Vol.
$1k Liq.
17
Ends in 5 months
W
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?

95%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
H
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

Fed · Rate

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

49%

2 (50 bps)

$701k Vol.
$147k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide  September 28 - October 4?

52%

0

$879 Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
A
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

91%

Yes

$185k Vol.
$206k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
C
Closer Senate Race: Michigan or New Hampshire?

50%

Michigan

$0 Vol.
$173 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

99%

4.4-4.6m sq km

$92k Vol.
$40k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 days
W
What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

26%

↓ $0.03

$18k Vol.
$725 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
J
Japan recession in 2026?

Japan recession in 2026?

5%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$175 Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
H
How many NFL Scorigamis in the 2026-27 regular season?

NFL (All) · Sports

How many NFL Scorigamis in the 2026-27 regular season?

86%

4+

$0 Vol.
$435 Liq.
Ends in 4 months
L
Lowest Mississippi level at St. Louis by November 30?

53%

-1.00 to 0.99 ft

$10k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
What will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of September 28 2026?

83%

↑ $3.20

$5k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 4 days