6 More Weeks Of Winter Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

H
How many states will be in D4 (Exceptional Drought) — week of September 29, 2026?

50%

3-4 states

$20 Vol.
$13 Liq.
Ends in 4 days
F
First snow of the 2026 season

First snow of the 2026 season

98%

Indianapolis, IN by November 30

$13k Vol.
$8k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$1.1m Vol.
$257k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
P
PPI YoY - September 2026

PPI YoY - September 2026

39%

5.9%+

$15k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 18 days
W
Where will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of September?

19%

Peru

$5k Vol.
$428 Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?

48%

Florida

$21k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
G
GDP growth in 2026

GDP growth in 2026

78%

2.0–2.5%

$76k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
H
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide  September 21 - September 27?

94%

1

$15k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
N
Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

13%

Yes

$247k Vol.
$1k Liq.
17
Ends in 5 months
H
Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026?

Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026?

74%

7.9 or below

$6k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide  September 28 - October 4?

50%

0

$786 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?

95%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
H
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

Fed · Rate

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

51%

2 (50 bps)

$693k Vol.
$208k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

91%

Yes

$181k Vol.
$237k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
M
Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

99%

4.4-4.6m sq km

$92k Vol.
$24k Liq.
6
Ends in 4 days
J
Japan recession in 2026?

Japan recession in 2026?

5%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$165 Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
L
Lowest Mississippi level at St. Louis by November 30?

50%

1.00 to 2.99 ft

$5k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
H
How many NFL Scorigamis in the 2026-27 regular season?

NFL (All) · Sports

How many NFL Scorigamis in the 2026-27 regular season?

86%

4+

$0 Vol.
$452 Liq.
Ends in 4 months
W
What will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of September 28 2026?

100%

↓ $3.20

$719 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
E
Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of September 29, 2026

99%

Oklahoma

$9k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 4 days