Xai Predictions & Odds· 289 markets

W
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

27%

Google

$163k Vol.
$115k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

74%

Anthropic

$1.4m Vol.
$972k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
IPOs before 2027?

IPOs before 2027?

77%

Anthropic

$7.4m Vol.
$102k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
#
#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of September 21?

52%

Google

$325 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
#
#1 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of September 21?

71%

DeepSeek

$314 Vol.
$865 Liq.
Ends in 5 days
#
#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of September 21?

60%

OpenAI

$221 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

84%

None in 2026

$126k Vol.
$17k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
N
NCAA Football: 2026 SEC Rushing Yards Leader

CFB (All) · NCAAF

NCAA Football: 2026 SEC Rushing Yards Leader

50%

Hollywood Smothers

$0 Vol.
$236 Liq.
Ends in 2 months
N
NCAA Football: 2026 SEC Rushing TDs Leader

CFB (All) · NCAAF

NCAA Football: 2026 SEC Rushing TDs Leader

50%

Fluff Bothwell

$0 Vol.
$263 Liq.
Ends in 2 months
G
Grok 5 released by...?

Grok 5 released by...?

38%

December 31

$15k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

67%

$OAI

$15k Vol.
$11k Liq.
4
Ends in over 1 year
W
What will OpenAI's frontier output token price hit in 2026?

53%

↑ $70

$0 Vol.
$342 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI IPO by...?

OpenAI IPO by...?

56%

June 30, 2027

$3.0m Vol.
$94k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months
G
Grok (Web) Outage by...?

Grok (Web) Outage by...?

50%

October 31

$1 Vol.
$45 Liq.
Ends in 2 months
G
Grok (Web) Outage by...?

Grok (Web) Outage by...?

62%

December 31

$47 Vol.
$111 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

56%

SpaceX

$12k Vol.
$245 Liq.
5
Ends in over 1 year
A
Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?

69%

Anthropic

$227 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in over 2 years
O
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

85%

$800B

$1.5m Vol.
$15k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
H
How many Codex resets week of September 21?

57%

2

$1k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
H
How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?

How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?

50%

$100B+

$8k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year