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Xai Predictions & Odds· 289 markets

W

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

27%

Google

$163k Vol.

$115k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

W

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

74%

Anthropic

$1.4m Vol.

$972k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

I

Finance·Business

IPOs before 2027?

77%

Anthropic

$7.4m Vol.

$102k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

#

#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of September 21?

52%

Google

$325 Vol.

$2k Liq.

Ends in 5 days

#

#1 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of September 21?

71%

DeepSeek

$314 Vol.

$865 Liq.

Ends in 5 days

#

#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of September 21?

60%

OpenAI

$221 Vol.

$1k Liq.

Ends in 5 days

W

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

84%

None in 2026

$126k Vol.

$17k Liq.

3

Ends in 3 months

N

CFB (All) · NCAAF

NCAA Football: 2026 SEC Rushing Yards Leader

50%

Hollywood Smothers

$0 Vol.

$236 Liq.

Ends in 2 months

N

CFB (All) · NCAAF

NCAA Football: 2026 SEC Rushing TDs Leader

50%

Fluff Bothwell

$0 Vol.

$263 Liq.

Ends in 2 months

G

Grok 5 released by...?

38%

December 31

$15k Vol.

$4k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

W

Finance·OpenAI

What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

67%

$OAI

$15k Vol.

$11k Liq.

4

Ends in over 1 year

W

What will OpenAI's frontier output token price hit in 2026?

53%

↑ $70

$0 Vol.

$342 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

O

Finance·OpenAI IPO

OpenAI IPO by...?

56%

June 30, 2027

$3.0m Vol.

$94k Liq.

14

Ends in 9 months

G

Grok (Web) Outage by...?

50%

October 31

$1 Vol.

$45 Liq.

Ends in 2 months

G

Grok (Web) Outage by...?

62%

December 31

$47 Vol.

$111 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

S

Finance·Elon Musk

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

56%

SpaceX

$12k Vol.

$245 Liq.

5

Ends in over 1 year

A

Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?

69%

Anthropic

$227 Vol.

$3k Liq.

Ends in over 2 years

O

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

85%

$800B

$1.5m Vol.

$15k Liq.

3

Ends in over 1 year

H

How many Codex resets week of September 21?

57%

2

$1k Vol.

$3k Liq.

Ends in 3 days

H

How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?

50%

$100B+

$8k Vol.

$18k Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

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