Unemployment Insurance Predictions & Odds· 103 markets

H
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

4%

5.0%

$525k Vol.
$16k Liq.
21
Ends in 6 months
S
September Unemployment Rate

September Unemployment Rate

43%

4.1%

$25k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
W
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

9%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$482 Liq.
2
Ends in 5 months
U
US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

70%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$99k Vol.
$4k Liq.
7
Ends in 4 months
J
JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

24%

7.3M to 7.4M

$24k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 18 hours
T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

91%

Up

$26k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

26%

↓ $0.03

$17k Vol.
$776 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

Dilution of Iran's Uranium

$1.1m Vol.
$171k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
N
No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?

27%

No change

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 29 days
P
PPI YoY - September 2026

PPI YoY - September 2026

39%

5.9%+

$15k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 18 days
S
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 29?

94%

$745

$101 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
H
How many jobs added in September?

How many jobs added in September?

30%

50k to 100k

$18k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
F
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

47%

Hike–Hike–Hike

$148k Vol.
$77k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

15%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$305 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 29 - October 6, 2026?

50%

60-79

$1k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?

88%

↑ $770

$1k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
What price will Zcash hit in 2026?

What price will Zcash hit in 2026?

59%

↑ 2000

$651k Vol.
$75k Liq.
14
Ends in 3 months
S
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 28?

98%

$755

$13k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
C
Core PCE MoM - August 2026

Core PCE MoM - August 2026

70%

0.3%

$21k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

53%

60-79

$1k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 4 days