Unemployment Insurance Predictions & Odds· 103 markets

H
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

5%

5.0%

$543k Vol.
$19k Liq.
21
Ends in 6 months
S
September Unemployment Rate

September Unemployment Rate

36%

4.1%

$28k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
W
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

10%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$374 Liq.
2
Ends in 5 months
U
US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

71%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$99k Vol.
$7k Liq.
7
Ends in 4 months
J
JOLTS Job Openings: September 2026

JOLTS Job Openings: September 2026

17%

6.8M to 6.9M

$700 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

91%

Up

$26k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

56%

↓ $0.03

$18k Vol.
$762 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$1.2m Vol.
$285k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
N
No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?

59%

No change

$20k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
P
PPI YoY - September 2026

PPI YoY - September 2026

38%

5.9%+

$15k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
S
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on October 1?

50%

$785

$5 Vol.
$28 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
H
How many jobs added in September?

How many jobs added in September?

35%

50k to 100k

$19k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
F
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

42%

Hike–Pause–Hike

$170k Vol.
$175k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$773 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
Z
Zelenskyy # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026?

47%

80-99

$1k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
S
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 30?

99%

$750

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
W
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?

81%

↓ $760

$1k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 29 - October 6, 2026?

36%

80-99

$3k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
What price will Zcash hit in 2026?

What price will Zcash hit in 2026?

51%

↑ 2000

$656k Vol.
$22k Liq.
14
Ends in 3 months
C
Core PCE MoM - August 2026

Core PCE MoM - August 2026

84%

0.3%

$24k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 1 hour