Nonfarm Payroll Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

W
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

4%

December 31

$68.5m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$77k today
1,692
Ends in 3 months
A
Alix Earle and Lando Norris confirm relationship in 2026?

37%

Yes

$72 Vol.
$43 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Clavicular and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez confirm relationship in 2026?

2%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$3k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
L
Lindsay Hubbard and Matt James confirm relationship in 2026?

45%

Yes

$510 Vol.
$40 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How many jobs added in September?

How many jobs added in September?

27%

50k to 100k

$9k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 13 days
J
JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

29%

7.3M to 7.4M

$7k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Will Paychex (PAYX) beat quarterly earnings?

51%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$182 Liq.
Ends in 3 days
W
Will General Mills (GIS) beat quarterly earnings?

78%

Yes

$973 Vol.
$971 Liq.
Ended
W
Will Conagra (CAG) beat quarterly earnings?

72%

Yes

$786 Vol.
$134 Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings?

32%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$521 Liq.
Ended
W
Will FactSet (FDS) beat quarterly earnings?

68%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$647 Liq.
Ends in 11 days
U
US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

77%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$89k Vol.
$10k Liq.
7
Ends in 4 months
L
Largest private company end of September?

99%

Anthropic

$9k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
3
3rd largest private company end of September?

97%

ByteDance

$10k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
S
September Unemployment Rate

September Unemployment Rate

37%

4.1%

$8k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
2
2nd largest private company end of September?

95%

OpenAI

$7k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
H
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

7%

5.5%

$514k Vol.
$11k Liq.
21
Ends in 4 months
S
Stripe vs American Express - higher valuation on December 31?

14%

Stripe

$828 Vol.
$493 Liq.
Ends in 4 months
W
Will Carnival (CCL) beat quarterly earnings?

83%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$771 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
G
Government shutdown by October 1?

Government shutdown by October 1?

2%

Yes

$16k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 12 days