Trump Iran Predictions & Odds· 108 markets

T
Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by...?

34%

Yes

$12k Vol.
$209 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

77%

Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani

$991k Vol.
$219k Liq.
🔥$56k today
Ends in 9 months
W
What will Netanyahu say during the United Nations General Assembly?

96%

Antisemitic / Antisemitism

$22k Vol.
$18k Liq.
1
Ends in 1 day
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27)

50%

NATO

$7k Vol.
$202 Liq.
Ends in 4 days
W
What will Elon post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

89%

Border

$6k Vol.
$854 Liq.
Ends in 4 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$1000k Vol.
$265k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

94%

September 25

$2.3m Vol.
$530k Liq.
🔥$241k today
Ends in about 1 month
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

50%

September 3

$66 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

75%

December 31, 2026

$20k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

36%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$880 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

62%

December 31

$31.2m Vol.
$402k Liq.
🔥$308k today
605
Ends in 3 months
W
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

41%

USA

$16k Vol.
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T
Trump and Pezeshkian meet by September 30?

Trump and Pezeshkian meet by September 30?

5%

Yes

$7k Vol.
$22k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 days
I
Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

0%

Yes

$19k Vol.
$28k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

3%

Yes

$626k Vol.
$14k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
S
Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by...?

10%

December 31

$2k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?

5%

Yes

$100k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

4%

Yes

$638k Vol.
$26k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
U
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

21%

Yes

$251k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump praise Allah again by September 30?

6%

Yes

$570 Vol.
$164 Liq.
Ends in 7 days