Trade Deal Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

W
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

18%

Mexico

$393k Vol.
$113k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

91%

Yes

$257k Vol.
$55k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k Vol.
$292k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?

48%

December 31

$190k Vol.
$39k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
U
US x Cuba economic deal by...?

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

12%

Yes

$435k Vol.
$2k Liq.
19
Ends in 3 months
T
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?

12%

Yes

$56k Vol.
$1k Liq.
5
Ends in 4 months
W
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?

7%

Yes

$823k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

6%

Yes

$620k Vol.
$10k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

5%

December 31

$662k Vol.
$18k Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$328 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?

9%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump announces Canada tariff decrease by...?

54%

December 31

$1k Vol.
$905 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

Iran · Trump

Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

8%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$521 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

7%

Yes

$22k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

4%

Yes

$150k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
G
Greenland deal text released by...?

Greenland deal text released by...?

75%

September 30

$19k Vol.
$17k Liq.
3
Ends in 11 days
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

82%

Yes

$792k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump announces Canada tariff increase by...?

60%

October 31

$3k Vol.
$258 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump x Taliban mineral deal signed in 2026?

Trump x Taliban mineral deal signed in 2026?

8%

Yes

$237 Vol.
$8k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

10%

Kuwait

$1.7m Vol.
$173k Liq.
Ends in 3 months