Peace Predictions & Odds· 127 markets

N
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

19%

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

$24.3m Vol.
$1.9m Liq.
208
Ends in 20 days
R
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

68%

December 31

$769k Vol.
$89k Liq.
34
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

11%

Yes

$2.8m Vol.
$63k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?

2%

Yes

$12k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

2%

Yes

$68k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

5%

December 31

$529k Vol.
$23k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

6%

Yes

$620k Vol.
$10k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
W
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

88%

No Meeting by September 30

$6.2m Vol.
$872k Liq.
🔥$204k today
Ends in 11 days
N
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

63%

March 31, 2027

$11.6m Vol.
$212k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

37%

Steve Witkoff

$754k Vol.
$324k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Trump say during the United Nations General Assembly?

85%

Terror / Terrorism

$23k Vol.
$15k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 days
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27)

98%

Trump

$4k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 14 - September 20)

48%

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

$9k Vol.
$873 Liq.
Ends in about 20 hours
S
Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner

98%

No election before 2027

$112k Vol.
$54k Liq.
7
Ended
E
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?

4%

Yes

$462k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Idaho voters choose as their state gun?

50%

Candidate A

$7k Vol.
$19k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$336 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

14%

December 31

$2.0m Vol.
$292k Liq.
35
Ends in 3 months
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

82%

Yes

$792k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k Vol.
$284k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months