Peace Predictions & Odds· 126 markets

N
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

14%

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

$24.3m Vol.
$1.9m Liq.
208
Ends in 19 days
R
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

67%

December 31

$772k Vol.
$83k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

11%

Yes

$2.8m Vol.
$70k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

3%

Yes

$69k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

6%

Yes

$620k Vol.
$11k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?

2%

Yes

$12k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

5%

December 31

$529k Vol.
$23k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
W
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

85%

No Meeting by September 30

$6.3m Vol.
$845k Liq.
🔥$126k today
Ends in 10 days
N
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

63%

March 31, 2027

$11.7m Vol.
$224k Liq.
🔥$71k today
Ends in 6 months
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

36%

Steve Witkoff

$768k Vol.
$320k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Trump say during the United Nations General Assembly?

86%

Terror / Terrorism

$26k Vol.
$17k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 days
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27)

94%

Iran

$5k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
S
Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner

98%

No election before 2027

$112k Vol.
$55k Liq.
7
Ended
E
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?

4%

Yes

$462k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Idaho voters choose as their state gun?

50%

Candidate A

$7k Vol.
$11k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

15%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$355 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

14%

December 31

$2.0m Vol.
$278k Liq.
35
Ends in 3 months
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

82%

Yes

$793k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

Dilution of Iran's Uranium

$945k Vol.
$240k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be said during the 2026 Sidemen Charity Match?
$29k Vol.
$0 Liq.
17
Ended