Trade Deal Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

W
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

19%

Vietnam

$396k Vol.
$94k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

95%

December 31

$318k Vol.
$85k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

15%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

$1.1m Vol.
$269k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?

41%

December 31

$205k Vol.
$45k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
U
US x Cuba economic deal by...?

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

21%

Yes

$436k Vol.
$3k Liq.
18
Ends in 3 months
T
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?

13%

Yes

$56k Vol.
$981 Liq.
5
Ends in 4 months
W
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?

7%

Yes

$825k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

3%

Yes

$629k Vol.
$12k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

5%

December 31

$662k Vol.
$18k Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

13%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$303 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?

11%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump announces Canada tariff decrease by...?

63%

December 31

$2k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

Iran · Trump

Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

7%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$567 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

4%

Yes

$44k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

3%

Yes

$151k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

83%

Yes

$801k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump x Taliban mineral deal signed in 2026?

Trump x Taliban mineral deal signed in 2026?

9%

Yes

$348 Vol.
$345 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
L
LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs

Esports · league of legends

LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs

83%

LYON

$737 Vol.
$55k Liq.
Ends in about 22 hours
T
Trump announces Canada tariff increase by...?

50%

October 31

$3k Vol.
$247 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

9%

Kuwait

$1.7m Vol.
$155k Liq.
Ends in 3 months