Trade Deal Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

W
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

19%

Mexico

$396k Vol.
$114k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

91%

December 31

$273k Vol.
$49k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

19%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$982k Vol.
$175k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?

45%

December 31

$200k Vol.
$54k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
U
US x Cuba economic deal by...?

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

18%

Yes

$436k Vol.
$965 Liq.
19
Ends in 3 months
T
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?

12%

Yes

$56k Vol.
$1k Liq.
5
Ends in 4 months
W
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?

7%

Yes

$824k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

3%

Yes

$629k Vol.
$24k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

5%

December 31

$662k Vol.
$18k Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$308 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?

8%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump announces Canada tariff decrease by...?

65%

December 31

$1k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

Iran · Trump

Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

7%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$598 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

10%

Yes

$36k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

4%

Yes

$150k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump announces Canada tariff increase by...?

61%

October 31

$3k Vol.
$326 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

83%

Yes

$796k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump x Taliban mineral deal signed in 2026?

Trump x Taliban mineral deal signed in 2026?

7%

Yes

$348 Vol.
$8k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

9%

Kuwait

$1.7m Vol.
$155k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by...?

25%

December 31

$64k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ended