Trade Deal Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

W
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

25%

Mexico

$393k Vol.
$112k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

91%

Yes

$257k Vol.
$56k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k Vol.
$287k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?

46%

December 31

$191k Vol.
$48k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
U
US x Cuba economic deal by...?

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

12%

Yes

$435k Vol.
$1k Liq.
19
Ends in 3 months
T
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?

12%

Yes

$56k Vol.
$1k Liq.
5
Ends in 4 months
W
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?

7%

Yes

$823k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

6%

Yes

$620k Vol.
$10k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

5%

December 31

$662k Vol.
$18k Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$334 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?

8%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump announces Canada tariff decrease by...?

60%

December 31

$1k Vol.
$790 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

Iran · Trump

Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

8%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$528 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

7%

Yes

$22k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

4%

Yes

$150k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

83%

Yes

$792k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
G
Greenland deal text released by...?

Greenland deal text released by...?

77%

September 30

$20k Vol.
$7k Liq.
3
Ends in 11 days
T
Trump x Taliban mineral deal signed in 2026?

Trump x Taliban mineral deal signed in 2026?

9%

Yes

$348 Vol.
$294 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump announces Canada tariff increase by...?

61%

October 31

$3k Vol.
$279 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

10%

Kuwait

$1.7m Vol.
$149k Liq.
Ends in 3 months