Makkah Joint Defence Agreement Predictions & Odds· 111 markets

F
Frontier AI labs announce joint pacing agreement in 2026?

54%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$468 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

31%

October 31

$2.5m Vol.
$102k Liq.
153
Ends in about 1 month
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

70%

December 31, 2027

$7.7m Vol.
$871k Liq.
215
Ends in 9 months
S
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

32%

October 31

$8k Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?

47%

December 31

$190k Vol.
$40k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?

11%

Bahrain

$59k Vol.
$139k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

32%

Yes

$12k Vol.
$573 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

91%

Yes

$256k Vol.
$58k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

3%

Yes

$1.3m Vol.
$33k Liq.
8
Ends in 12 days
W
Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by...?

25%

December 31

$64k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
G
Greenland deal text released by...?

Greenland deal text released by...?

78%

September 30

$4k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
H
Houthi military action against Mecca by...?

12%

December 31

$3k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by...?

6%

December 31

$4k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

22%

October 31

$818 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

8%

Yes

$267k Vol.
$19k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
S
Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by...?

12%

December 31

$1k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

5%

September 30

$13k Vol.
$32k Liq.
1
Ends in 12 days
H
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on...?

62%

September 26

$4k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

6%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel military action against Yemen by...?

46%

December 31

$239k Vol.
$82k Liq.
4
Ends in 11 days