The Holdovers Predictions & Odds· 4054 markets

P
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

52%

Gadi Eizenkot

$39.4m Vol.
$3.4m Liq.
🔥$157k today
731
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which party will win the House in 2026?

93%

Democratic Party

$12.4m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

4%

December 31

$70.8m Vol.
$996k Liq.
1,718
Ends in 3 months
W
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

67%

1

$3.6m Vol.
$273k Liq.
29
Ends in 5 months
'
'The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore' First Week Album Sales?

81%

100k+

$69k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
W
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?

0%

Yes

$2.7m Vol.
$236k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
"
"Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office

81%

17-20m

$108k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ended
W
Which company has the best AI model end of September?

100%

Anthropic

$4.1m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
Ends in 3 days
W
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

16%

Yes

$69.8m Vol.
$815k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

7%

Yes

$26.4m Vol.
$651k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
W
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

63%

Democratic Party

$5.3m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
152
Ends in about 1 month
W
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

40%

USA

$58k Vol.
$196k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

12%

Raphael Warnock

$208k Vol.
$68k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
V
VMA Video of the Year 2026

VMA Video of the Year 2026

78%

The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift)

$140k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in about 5 hours
V
VMA Artist of the Year 2026

VMA Artist of the Year 2026

52%

Madonna

$61k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in about 5 hours
D
Dancing with the Stars S35: Winner?

Dancing with the Stars S35: Winner?

36%

Ezra Frech

$40k Vol.
$22k Liq.
2
Ends in 6 months
N
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

90%

Marine Le Pen

$220k Vol.
$927k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
W
What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

95%

The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare

$11k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
F
First to list tokenized stocks in the US?

First to list tokenized stocks in the US?

33%

Robinhood

$18k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
M
MLB: NL Rookie of the Year

Sports · Awards

MLB: NL Rookie of the Year

68%

Sal Stewart

$1.1m Vol.
$63k Liq.
Ends in 3 months