The Holdovers Predictions & Odds· 4045 markets

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Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

16%

Yes

$69.7m Vol.
$715k Liq.
🔥$818k today
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

4%

December 31

$70.7m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
🔥$338k today
1,715
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?

0%

Yes

$2.7m Vol.
$271k Liq.
🔥$192k today
Ends in 4 days
P
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

52%

Gadi Eizenkot

$39.2m Vol.
$3.0m Liq.
🔥$167k today
722
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

93%

Democratic Party

$12.4m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$82k today
1
Ends in 3 months
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Which company has the best AI model end of September?

100%

Anthropic

$4.1m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
Ends in 4 days
"
"Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office

"Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office

76%

17-20m

$77k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
M
MLB: NL Rookie of the Year

Sports · Awards

MLB: NL Rookie of the Year

82%

Sal Stewart

$1.1m Vol.
$68k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
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Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

6%

Yes

$3.4m Vol.
$136k Liq.
81
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

7%

Yes

$26.3m Vol.
$669k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
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'The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore' First Week Album Sales?

80%

200k+

$24k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
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VMA Video of the Year 2026

VMA Video of the Year 2026

61%

The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift)

$127k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
W
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

2%

Yes

$10.9m Vol.
$107k Liq.
276
Ends in 3 months
V
VMA Artist of the Year 2026

VMA Artist of the Year 2026

50%

A

$47k Vol.
$12k Liq.
1
Ends in 1 day
W
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

63%

Democratic Party

$5.3m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
152
Ends in about 1 month
R
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

36%

≤47

$3.0m Vol.
$365k Liq.
12
Ends in about 1 month
E
Esports Awards 2026: Esports Commercial Partner of the Year

Sports · Esports

Esports Awards 2026: Esports Commercial Partner of the Year

51%

Red Bull

$20k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?

89%

Unabomber

$13k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
W
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

41%

No Meeting by December 31

$39k Vol.
$217k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
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When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

39%

No release by November 1

$83k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month