US Politics Predictions & Odds· 293 markets

W
Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?

Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?

100%

December 31

$2.6m Vol.
$346k Liq.
🔥$641k today
189
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

4%

December 31

$69.2m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$629k today
1,700
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

96%

September 25

$1.8m Vol.
$490k Liq.
🔥$290k today
Ends in about 1 month
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

64%

December 31

$30.2m Vol.
$459k Liq.
🔥$288k today
594
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

39%

Jared Kushner

$858k Vol.
$307k Liq.
🔥$90k today
Ends in 3 months
N
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

68%

March 31, 2027

$11.8m Vol.
$197k Liq.
🔥$82k today
Ends in 6 months
W
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

85%

No Meeting by September 30

$6.4m Vol.
$862k Liq.
🔥$64k today
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W
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

66%

Democratic

$2.4m Vol.
$674k Liq.
94
Ends in about 2 years
U
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

12%

December 31

$17.9m Vol.
$454k Liq.
156
Ends in 3 months
U
US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

7%

Yes

$2.0m Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

97%

September 22

$14k Vol.
$64k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

98%

Why Did I Get Married Again?

$18k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
U
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

8%

Yes

$34k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

4%

Yes

$10.8m Vol.
$72k Liq.
273
Ends in 3 months
U
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

91%

Yes

$265k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
#
#1 Spotify song in the US this week? (September 25)

91%

Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley

$13k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
U
US military draft authorized in 2026?

US military draft authorized in 2026?

5%

Yes

$532k Vol.
$32k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

98%

Crew Girl: Season 1

$15k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
U
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

6%

December 31

$29.5m Vol.
$142k Liq.
195
Ends in 3 months
U
US GDP growth in Q3 2026?

US GDP growth in Q3 2026?

70%

≥3.0%

$39k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month