US Politics Predictions & Odds· 281 markets

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Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?

Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?

100%

October 31

$2.7m Vol.
$416k Liq.
🔥$631k today
202
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

4%

December 31

$69.3m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
🔥$360k today
1,696
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

64%

December 31

$30.2m Vol.
$414k Liq.
🔥$252k today
596
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

96%

September 25

$1.9m Vol.
$516k Liq.
🔥$177k today
Ends in about 1 month
N
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

72%

March 31, 2027

$11.9m Vol.
$209k Liq.
🔥$130k today
Ends in 6 months
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

38%

Jared Kushner

$870k Vol.
$319k Liq.
🔥$93k today
Ends in 3 months
W
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

85%

No Meeting by September 30

$6.4m Vol.
$794k Liq.
🔥$58k today
Ends in 9 days
U
US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

7%

Yes

$2.0m Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

66%

Democratic

$2.4m Vol.
$650k Liq.
94
Ends in about 2 years
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US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

12%

December 31

$17.9m Vol.
$401k Liq.
156
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

98%

Why Did I Get Married Again?

$20k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 18 hours
U
US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

98%

September 22

$15k Vol.
$61k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
#
#1 Spotify song in the US this week? (September 25)

93%

Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley

$14k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
U
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

8%

Yes

$34k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
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US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

6%

December 31

$29.5m Vol.
$136k Liq.
195
Ends in 3 months
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What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

96%

Crew Girl: Season 1

$16k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 18 hours
U
US military draft authorized in 2026?

US military draft authorized in 2026?

6%

Yes

$532k Vol.
$30k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
U
US GDP growth in Q3 2026?

US GDP growth in Q3 2026?

79%

≥3.0%

$40k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

91%

Yes

$265k Vol.
$51k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$951k Vol.
$146k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months