The Holdovers Predictions & Odds· 4092 markets

U
United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?

57%

340–354

$2.0m Vol.
$371k Liq.
🔥$668k today
45
Ended
W
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

3%

December 31

$68.9m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$380k today
1,693
Ends in 3 months
P
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

53%

Gadi Eizenkot

$38.4m Vol.
$2.7m Liq.
🔥$232k today
701
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

17%

Yes

$67.5m Vol.
$794k Liq.
🔥$164k today
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

86%

No Meeting by September 30

$6.3m Vol.
$950k Liq.
🔥$127k today
Ends in 10 days
W
Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

93%

Democratic Party

$12.0m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$120k today
1
Ends in about 1 month
H
How many seats will the Communist Party (KPRF) win in the next Russian legislative election?

98%

<50

$62k Vol.
$119k Liq.
🔥$51k today
Ended
W
Which company has the best AI model end of September?

99%

Anthropic

$3.7m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
Ends in 10 days
A
AfD wins the most seats in how many September state elections?

100%

2

$201k Vol.
$115k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
W
Which parties will win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?

99%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)

$99k Vol.
$107k Liq.
7
Ended
W
Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

89%

Anthropic

$361k Vol.
$637k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?

0%

Yes

$2.4m Vol.
$230k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

73%

1

$3.5m Vol.
$284k Liq.
27
Ends in 3 months
W
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

61%

Democratic Party

$4.8m Vol.
$724k Liq.
142
Ends in about 1 month
W
When will the first hurricane form in the Atlantic in 2026?

59%

No Atlantic hurricane will form in September 2026

$36k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
B
Berlin 2026 Election: How Large Will the Abgeordnetenhaus Be?

55%

158–162

$26k Vol.
$21k Liq.
1
Ended
W
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

7%

Yes

$26.2m Vol.
$617k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
V
VMA Video of the Year 2026

VMA Video of the Year 2026

54%

The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift)

$16k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 7 days